Jefferies downgrades 5 stocks including GAIL,BPCL, Gujarat Gas to underperform in Oil&Gas sector; whereas Mahanagar Gas still remains the top pic of Jefferies

In a recent analysis of the Oil & Gas sector, Jefferies has downgraded five stocks, including GAIL, Gujarat Gas, Bharat Petroleum, Hindustan Petroleum, and Petronet LNG, to ‘underperform.’ 

However, Mahanagar Gas continues to hold its position as Jefferies’ top pick. The brokerage firm suggests a ‘hold’ rating for Indraprasth and Indian Oil.

Jefferies anticipates a range-bound profitability scenario for Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) in the Oil-to-Chemicals (O2C) segment throughout FY25. The forecast indicates a 13% consolidated Ebitda growth, primarily propelled by tariff hikes in Jio.

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The report notes that the valuation for GAIL is perceived as rich, marked by a deviation of +2 standard deviations, coupled with an anticipated flattish FY24-26E EPS. Jefferies favors Mahanagar Gas among City Gas Distribution (CGD) companies due to its robust earnings visibility, attractive valuation, and dividend yield.

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While maintaining ‘underperform’ ratings for BPCL and HPCL, Jefferies cities premium valuations compared to the last cycle average as the primary reason. The report underscores the reasonable valuation and potential upside risks in Reliance Industries, including the possible listing of Jio and value discovery in the New Energy sector.

Here are the top stocks in the Oil & Gas sector on which Jefferies has provided predictions

GAIL (GAIL (india) Limited)

BUY | CMP: 162 | TARGET: 143 | Rating: UNDERPERFORM

MGL (Mahanagar Gas Limited)

BUY | CMP: 1223 | TARGET: 1450 | Rating: BUY

IGL (Indraprastha Gas Limited)

BUY | CMP: 422 | TARGET: 430 | Rating: HOLD

GUJGASLTD (Gujarat Gas Limited)

BUY | CMP: 498 | TARGET: 385 | Rating: UNDERPERFORM

BPCL (Bharat Petroleum Corp Limited)

BUY | CMP: 461 | TARGET: 405 | Rating: UNDERPERFORM

HINDPETRO (Hindustan Petroleum Corp)

BUY | CMP: 422 | TARGET: 330 | Rating: UNDERPERFORM

IOC (Indian Oil Corp Ltd)

BUY | CMP: 132 | TARGET: 130 | Rating: HOLD

PETRONET (Petronet LNG Limited)

BUY | CMP: 229 | TARGET: 195 | Rating: UNDERPERFORM

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